Monetary policy effectiveness in the context of global inflation growth: Evidence from North Macedonia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.71159/icemit2508TKeywords:
monetary policy, inflation, global shocks, macroeconomic stability, North MacedoniaAbstract
Monetary policy, in interaction with fiscal policy, is a central instrument for ensuring macroeconomic stability, especially in periods of heightened global inflationary pressures. The recent global surge in prices, largely triggered by disruptions in supply chains and the restricted availability of oil and energy products, has significantly affected small and open economies. North Macedonia represents a particularly relevant case, as its high external dependency has amplified the transmission of global shocks into domestic price dynamics. This study investigates the effectiveness of monetary policy in stabilizing inflation and safeguarding macroeconomic balance in North Macedonia. The analysis focuses on the transmission channels through which monetary measures operate and evaluates the extent to which domestic policy responses mitigate external inflationary pressures. The findings reveal that while inflationary trends were predominantly driven by global factors, monetary policy interventions contributed meaningfully to cushioning adverse effects, supporting price stability, and preserving the broader macroeconomic framework.
References
Aguilar, A., Cantú, C., & Guerra, R. (2023, March 29). Fiscal and monetary policy in emerging market economies: What are the risks and policy trade-offs? BIS Bulletin No. 71. Bank for International Settlements. https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull71.pdf
Akindoyin, D. I. (2024). Impacts of the Russo-Ukrainian conflict on food security in Sub-Saharan Africa. The Journal of International Relations, Peace Studies, and Development, 9(1). https://scholarworks.arcadia.edu/agsjournal/vol9/iss1/4
Badinger, H., & Schiman, S. (2023). Measuring monetary policy in the euro area using SVARs with residual restrictions. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 15(2), 279–305. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20210035
Barone, S., Oggero, N., & Damilano, M. (2025). Monetary policy and financial stability: Evidence from a new macroeconomic environment. Research in International Business and Finance, 77, 102992. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102992
Calderón, C., & Kubota, M. (2021, December). Exploring the growth effects of COVID-19 across developing countries (Policy Research Working Paper No. 9889). World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/37041
Caravelli, G., Bartoloni, E., & Baussola, M. (2024). Monetary policy and innovation in Europe: An SVAR approach. Finance Research Letters, 66, 105730. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105730
Cui, L., Yue, S., Nghiem, X.-H., & Duan, M. (2023). Exploring the risk and economic vulnerability of global energy supply chain interruption in the context of the Russo-Ukrainian war. Resources Policy, 81, 103373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103373
di Giovanni, J., Kalemli-Özcan, Ş., Silva, A., & Yildirim, M. A. (2023). Quantifying the inflationary impact of fiscal stimulus under supply constraints. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 113, 76–80. https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231028
Ferreira, V., Abreu, A., & Louçã, F. (2025). The rise and fall of inflation in the euro area (2021–2024): A heterodox perspective. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 72, 103–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.004
Fisher, M. J., & Marshall, A. P. (2009). Understanding descriptive statistics. Australian Critical Care, 22(2), 93–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aucc.2008.11.003
Lo, G.-D., Marcelin, I., Bassène, T., & Sène, B. (2022). The Russo-Ukrainian war and financial markets: The role of dependence on Russian commodities. Finance Research Letters, 50, 103194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103194
Milstein, E., & Wessel, D. (2024, January 2). What did the Fed do in response to the COVID-19 crisis? Brookings Institution. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/fed-response-to-covid19/
Pera, J. (2023). The war in Ukraine and the risk of low impact of Western sanctions imposed on Russia. Central European Review of Economics & Finance, 44(3), 99–124. https://doi.org/10.24136/ceref.2023.016
Posen, A. S. (2022). Annual report 2022. Peterson Institute for International Economics. https://www.piie.com/microsites/annual-report-2022
Rogoff, K. (2022). Emerging market sovereign debt in the aftermath of the pandemic. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 36(4), 147–166. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.36.4.147
Taskovski, F., & Paceskoski, V. (2024). Determinants of inflation in conditions of global changes and conflicts: The case of North Macedonia. In Proceedings of the EMIDWORLD 2nd International Congress on Economics, Public Finance, Business & Social Sciences. Altınbaş University. https://eprints.ugd.edu.mk/35735/
Tsutsunashvili, A., Aránega, A. Y., & Urueña, R. C. (2024). Challenged global economics amid conflict in warring countries. Sustainable Technology and Entrepreneurship, 3(3), 100068. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stae.2023.100068
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Conference Proceedings Volume
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 International Scientific Conference on Economics, Management and Information Technologies

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.